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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% -
Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Log Adjusted 77.8% 22.2% -
Points Off/Def 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 36 8-16 2-5 0-0 5 6 0 0 18 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 7-14 2-4 0-2 12 5 1 2 16 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 30 2-18 0-8 3-4 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Max Strus * 23 3-5 3-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Jarrett Allen * 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter 22 6-8 3-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 17 - -
Ty Jerome 19 5-8 2-5 4-4 1 5 2 1 16 - -
Sam Merrill 17 2-7 0-4 0-0 7 0 4 0 4 - -
Dean Wade 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Isaac Okoro 13 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Javonte Green 7 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oso Ighodaro * 44 3-7 0-0 0-0 13 4 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 17-29 4-9 4-4 6 8 0 1 42 - -
Devin Booker * 38 7-17 1-4 2-2 2 10 0 0 17 - -
Ryan Dunn * 26 4-9 2-5 0-0 9 1 1 1 10 - -
Collin Gillespie * 23 5-6 3-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 13 - -
Tyus Jones 24 6-11 4-9 0-0 3 3 2 0 16 - -
Cody Martin 22 1-5 0-4 2-2 6 1 2 1 4 - -
Royce O'Neale 21 5-8 5-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 15 - -

* = starter