Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (123-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 15-30 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 36 | 5-15 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 12 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 38 | 9-12 | 2-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 27 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter