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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% - ✓
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 ✓ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 24.0% 76.0% - ✓
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 10.4% 89.6% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +35 (141-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Simpson * 32 2-4 2-3 4-4 1 8 1 0 10 - -
Miles Bridges * 25 5-12 4-10 6-6 3 4 1 1 20 - -
Josh Green * 24 5-10 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 12 - -
DaQuan Jeffries * 23 3-10 3-6 2-2 0 1 0 1 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 23 2-5 1-2 1-1 9 5 1 1 6 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 27 2-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 6 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 26 5-14 4-9 0-0 0 3 0 0 14 - -
Seth Curry 22 5-8 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Moussa Diabaté 21 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 12 - -
Taj Gibson 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 29 13-18 2-2 2-2 6 9 1 0 30 - -
Chet Holmgren * 27 6-12 1-2 1-4 5 1 1 3 14 - -
Cason Wallace * 26 5-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 2 1 11 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 26 4-9 3-6 0-0 2 1 3 0 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 24 6-13 0-1 0-1 10 4 0 1 12 - -
Jaylin Williams 23 4-7 3-5 3-4 5 4 0 0 14 - -
Isaiah Joe 20 5-10 4-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 14 - -
Kenrich Williams 17 3-4 3-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Alex Caruso 14 2-3 1-1 4-4 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Dillon Jones 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Adam Flagler 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 - -
Branden Carlson 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Alex Ducas 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 - -

* = starter