Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (104-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 6-18 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 10-15 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 37 | 7-16 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 32 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post * | 23 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 17 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter