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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -
Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% -
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 33 11-16 1-2 6-8 10 6 0 1 29 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 30 8-17 3-7 2-3 4 8 3 0 21 - -
Jonathan Mogbo * 27 2-5 0-0 1-1 5 4 0 0 5 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 27 8-9 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 2 18 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 25 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Jamison Battle 33 5-12 4-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 14 - -
Jamal Shead 26 4-7 2-3 1-1 4 6 1 0 11 - -
Colin Castleton 19 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 2 2 0 7 - -
A.J. Lawson 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 35 4-15 1-2 7-10 11 12 2 2 16 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 34 6-14 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 15 - -
Draymond Green * 31 7-18 5-14 2-2 7 5 4 0 21 - -
Moses Moody * 27 0-5 0-3 4-4 1 2 2 1 4 - -
Stephen Curry * 25 6-8 2-4 3-5 2 1 0 1 17 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 25 7-15 1-5 1-1 4 3 2 0 16 - -
Quinten Post 21 6-10 6-9 0-0 2 0 1 1 18 - -
Buddy Hield 19 1-4 1-3 5-5 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Gui Santos 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter