Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (108-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 8-18 | 3-11 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 23 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 21 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter