Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +4 (135-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 42 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 6-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 23 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 25 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter