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2025-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% - βœ“
Margin 33.9% 66.1% +3.7 βœ“ (36.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - βœ“
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - βœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns +40 (129-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 30 5-14 2-7 3-4 7 7 1 0 15 - -
Scottie Barnes * 30 5-13 1-2 5-8 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Colin Castleton * 30 3-4 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 2 10 - -
Jamison Battle * 29 5-14 4-12 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Jonathan Mogbo * 26 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 - -
A.J. Lawson 24 4-9 2-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Jamal Shead 23 1-8 0-5 1-1 1 4 1 0 3 - -
Garrett Temple 23 1-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Orlando Robinson 20 6-12 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 12 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 32 8-15 3-6 8-8 4 6 0 0 27 - -
Kevin Durant * 26 5-7 1-1 3-3 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Ryan Dunn * 24 7-16 3-7 0-0 6 0 0 1 17 - -
Collin Gillespie * 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 - -
Nick Richards * 11 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones 27 5-12 4-7 1-1 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Oso Ighodaro 26 4-6 0-0 1-1 9 4 1 1 9 - -
Royce O'Neale 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 10 3 1 1 11 - -
Cody Martin 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 6 3 0 2 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -
MontΓ© Morris 5 4-5 4-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 12 - -
Damion Lee 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Vasilije Micić 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Mason Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter