Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | β (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 42 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 14-23 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 10 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 6-21 | 4-14 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 26 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter