Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -11 (105-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 36 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 8-11 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 25 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 32 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter