Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +21 (116-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 30 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 10-14 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 31 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Miles McBride * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 25 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 18 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pacôme Dadiet | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Kolek | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anton Watson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter