Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -9.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -16 (105-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chet Holmgren * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 11-27 | 0-5 | 9-11 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 29 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 25 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 18 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter