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2025-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.2% 59.8% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (105-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 27 4-11 0-1 8-9 6 6 6 0 16 - -
Jamal Shead * 25 3-5 3-5 1-2 2 6 1 0 10 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 25 7-15 2-5 3-3 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 9-13 1-1 0-2 8 3 2 0 19 - -
Jamison Battle * 22 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
A.J. Lawson 33 4-14 1-6 0-0 8 6 0 0 9 - -
Orlando Robinson 29 4-12 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Colin Castleton 27 3-10 0-2 2-2 12 2 0 0 8 - -
Garrett Temple 23 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 35 8-16 5-10 0-0 7 3 2 2 21 - -
Deni Avdija * 33 4-8 3-6 8-9 6 6 1 0 19 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 33 7-16 1-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Anfernee Simons * 32 7-15 6-12 2-3 1 4 2 0 22 - -
Donovan Clingan * 30 2-6 0-1 1-2 14 1 1 3 5 - -
Scoot Henderson 29 2-12 1-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 5 - -
Kris Murray 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 7 - -
Duop Reath 17 3-8 1-4 2-2 5 0 0 1 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter