Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | β (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (107-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 23 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 21 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Cody Martin | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 39 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 13-14 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 34 | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 39 | 10-21 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 27 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter