Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.7 | β (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (123-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie * | 39 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alex Sarr * | 31 | 12-28 | 5-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 30 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 19 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bub Carrington | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| AJ Johnson | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 39 | 16-30 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 40 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter