Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | β (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 10-22 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 35 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 30 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter