Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 12-22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 34 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 36 | 11-16 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 21 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 28 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 36 | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - | |
| AJ Green | 15 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter