Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (107-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 17-26 | 4-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 48 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 33 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 29 | 5-18 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 26 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter