Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +16 (122-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk * | 42 | 8-18 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 26 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 24 | 6-7 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter