Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (131-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 39 | 13-26 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 36 | - | |
| Dalton Knecht * | 36 | 13-27 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 8 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - | |
| Alex Len * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Shake Milton | 28 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 23 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Bronny James | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 12-17 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 28 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 9-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 27 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter