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2025-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -11 (134-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DaQuan Jeffries * 32 5-9 3-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 13 - -
LaMelo Ball * 29 9-13 7-11 2-2 3 15 1 0 27 - -
Miles Bridges * 28 7-14 2-7 5-7 7 8 0 1 21 - -
Mark Williams * 28 5-6 0-0 4-4 10 3 1 0 14 - -
Josh Green * 28 7-11 6-9 0-0 1 3 4 0 20 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 27 9-12 6-7 2-2 3 5 0 0 26 - -
Marcus Garrett 18 1-6 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Seth Curry 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 12 6-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Moussa Diabaté 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 31 9-16 3-7 1-1 3 3 1 1 22 - -
Stephon Castle * 28 10-17 3-7 3-4 3 1 1 1 26 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 1 0 - -
Harrison Barnes * 21 4-9 2-6 0-1 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Chris Paul * 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Blake Wesley 23 3-6 1-2 3-4 4 3 2 0 10 - -
Keldon Johnson 22 4-11 1-4 3-3 5 3 1 0 12 - -
Julian Champagnie 19 4-8 3-5 1-1 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 1 2 2 13 - -
Jeremy Sochan 16 4-9 1-4 5-6 4 2 2 0 14 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Malaki Branham 6 2-2 2-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Harrison Ingram 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter