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2025-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (124-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 31 9-16 3-6 1-2 11 3 1 2 22 - -
Darius Garland * 29 7-17 3-11 3-3 2 9 4 0 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 25 6-7 0-0 4-8 6 3 1 1 16 - -
Max Strus * 22 2-4 2-4 3-3 4 5 1 0 9 - -
Isaac Okoro * 20 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Dean Wade 22 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
De'Andre Hunter 22 4-6 3-5 7-8 5 1 1 0 18 - -
Sam Merrill 21 5-7 4-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 14 - -
Ty Jerome 16 4-8 1-4 3-3 2 5 0 0 12 - -
Javonte Green 14 3-10 2-8 2-2 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 - -
Tristan Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylon Tyson 3 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 17-22 1-4 9-10 8 7 1 0 44 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 4-10 3-5 2-2 3 0 4 2 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 26 5-16 2-9 0-1 6 3 0 0 12 - -
Jaylen Wells * 16 3-5 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Zach Edey * 10 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 6 3 1 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 5-7 0-0 3-5 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kennard 15 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
GG Jackson 14 2-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Cam Spencer 6 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Jay Huff 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Marvin Bagley III 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter