Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +37 (133-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 2-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 34 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 34 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 26 | 11-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tari Eason * | 31 | 11-15 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 24 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 6 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter