Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -12 (91-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 8-21 | 5-12 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 9-21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter