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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +26 (130-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 34 8-13 0-2 7-8 5 7 1 0 23 - -
Keegan Murray * 34 2-10 2-8 0-0 4 2 0 2 6 - -
Malik Monk * 32 3-13 0-5 1-3 4 6 2 1 7 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 5-6 4-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 14 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 14 2-7 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 5 - -
Keon Ellis 28 7-12 3-8 1-2 0 4 1 0 18 - -
Jake LaRavia 21 5-7 2-4 1-2 0 1 1 0 13 - -
Trey Lyles 21 4-6 2-3 1-1 5 0 2 0 11 - -
Devin Carter 7 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Isaac Jones 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Markelle Fultz 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Crawford 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 30 4-9 2-6 1-1 2 5 1 1 11 - -
Draymond Green * 29 8-14 4-7 3-4 4 4 1 1 23 - -
Moses Moody * 29 4-7 4-6 5-6 4 6 2 1 17 - -
Jimmy Butler III * 28 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 7 1 0 6 - -
Quinten Post * 20 3-7 3-7 1-2 4 0 1 1 10 - -
Gary Payton II 20 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 7-10 0-1 4-6 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Buddy Hield 19 6-10 4-6 0-1 4 5 1 0 16 - -
Gui Santos 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Kevon Looney 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Pat Spencer 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter