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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - βœ“
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 βœ“ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - βœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +20 (126-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 35 10-17 4-7 4-4 8 3 0 0 28 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 35 14-27 7-13 10-12 11 3 2 1 45 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 29 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Gabe Vincent * 26 3-10 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Alex Len * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Goodwin 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 - -
Dalton Knecht 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Christian Koloko 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Markieff Morris 12 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Shake Milton 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 34 6-14 2-8 8-8 6 10 2 0 22 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 2-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 8-17 0-1 8-13 12 9 1 1 24 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 8-9 3-4 4-5 4 5 1 4 23 - -
Taurean Prince * 25 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 6-14 4-9 0-0 0 1 0 0 16 - -
AJ Green 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 4 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 16 5-10 5-7 7-7 3 1 2 2 22 - -
Ryan Rollins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Livingston 2 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Pete Nance 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter