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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - βœ—
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 βœ— (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - βœ—

Actual: Denver Nuggets -20 (95-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 34 10-22 5-12 4-5 4 6 1 0 29 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 31 7-13 2-4 0-0 8 1 1 1 16 - -
Rudy Gobert * 30 4-8 0-0 3-4 10 3 0 1 11 - -
Julius Randle * 27 9-12 3-5 4-6 4 3 2 0 25 - -
Mike Conley * 20 3-5 1-2 1-1 1 5 2 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 26 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 1 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 25 4-10 2-6 0-0 6 6 0 2 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 15 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Jaylen Clark 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Rob Dillingham 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 4 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokić * 38 13-23 2-6 6-8 8 4 1 0 34 - -
Jamal Murray * 35 4-15 1-5 3-3 5 8 1 0 12 - -
Russell Westbrook * 33 8-12 1-4 2-2 4 1 3 0 19 - -
Christian Braun * 32 3-10 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 32 3-10 0-3 4-5 9 2 0 0 10 - -
Jalen Pickett 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 - -
Peyton Watson 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Zeke Nnaji 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 - -
Trey Alexander 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Vlatko Čančar 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Spencer Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Hunter Tyson 5 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 8 - -
PJ Hall 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter