Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (126-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 22 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 41 | 12-25 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 23 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter