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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 7-15 2-5 3-5 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Kevin Durant * 36 8-12 2-2 1-2 7 0 1 1 19 - -
Bradley Beal * 32 9-14 0-4 7-7 0 3 1 0 25 - -
Royce O'Neale * 28 1-6 0-5 0-0 4 8 3 1 2 - -
Mason Plumlee * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Oso Ighodaro 28 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 8 - -
Tyus Jones 20 4-8 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Bol Bol 16 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Ryan Dunn 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Collin Gillespie 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 36 8-16 3-6 10-11 7 4 3 0 29 - -
Dillon Brooks * 34 8-14 2-5 1-3 1 4 0 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 33 7-7 1-1 5-6 4 7 1 0 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 27 4-9 2-6 0-0 2 4 4 0 10 - -
Tari Eason * 26 6-13 2-5 1-2 10 1 1 2 15 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. 33 4-12 0-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Steven Adams 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Jock Landale 9 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jeff Green 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cam Whitmore 5 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter