Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | β (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | β |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (104-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac * | 38 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 25 | - | |
| James Harden * | 38 | 6-20 | 3-8 | 9-13 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ * | 38 | 11-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 28 | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 25 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Jordan Miller | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kobe Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 41 | 13-23 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 26 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter