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2025-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -2.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% -
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 38 5-12 3-8 0-2 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 38 11-20 2-7 10-11 5 7 1 0 34 - -
Chet Holmgren * 33 8-14 3-6 4-7 15 2 0 1 23 - -
Cason Wallace * 30 5-6 1-1 3-4 4 3 2 1 14 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 20 0-9 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 25 4-7 0-0 3-4 6 3 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Joe 24 3-7 2-6 3-3 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Kenrich Williams 21 3-6 2-5 2-4 4 1 2 0 10 - -
Ousmane Dieng 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 12-23 4-13 5-5 8 8 0 0 33 - -
Derrick White * 37 7-14 6-12 2-3 8 5 2 3 22 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 5-15 0-5 0-0 5 2 2 1 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 4-10 1-7 0-0 3 2 3 0 9 - -
Al Horford * 33 6-14 6-12 0-0 10 6 1 2 18 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 3-10 2-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet 14 3-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Sam Hauser 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Torrey Craig 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter