Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +1 (115-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 36 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 33 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter