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Portland Trail Blazers 120
@
Golden State Warriors 130
2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% - ✓
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +10 (130-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 40 11-15 5-7 7-7 16 6 2 0 34 - -
Anfernee Simons * 38 12-21 6-10 2-2 2 1 2 0 32 - -
Toumani Camara * 36 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 2 4 1 7 - -
Donovan Clingan * 31 6-9 1-2 2-4 9 6 0 4 15 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 29 3-10 1-4 2-3 7 8 0 0 9 - -
Scoot Henderson 29 5-13 1-5 1-1 2 4 1 0 12 - -
Duop Reath 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Jabari Walker 11 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Dalano Banton 7 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 35 4-10 0-0 7-8 10 10 3 0 15 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 6-14 5-11 7-7 2 3 2 0 24 - -
Moses Moody * 29 7-10 2-5 4-4 2 0 1 0 20 - -
Draymond Green * 28 1-3 1-2 1-2 4 7 4 0 4 - -
Quinten Post * 25 4-10 3-5 0-0 7 2 1 3 11 - -
Gary Payton II 28 11-16 4-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 26 - -
Buddy Hield 25 7-10 6-9 0-0 2 7 2 1 20 - -
Kevon Looney 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 6 - -
Gui Santos 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter