Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (129-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 4-15 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 37 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 12-14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 10-22 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 29 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 28 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 14 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter