Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -13 (127-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 9-9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 39 | 15-20 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 9-16 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 13 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter