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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 41 11-24 7-9 6-6 5 5 0 1 35 - -
Devin Booker * 40 9-21 3-8 5-6 9 6 1 0 26 - -
Tyus Jones * 28 4-9 4-5 0-0 3 7 1 0 12 - -
Nick Richards * 20 5-9 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 10 - -
Bol Bol * 16 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 7 - -
Royce O'Neale 27 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 2 2 0 9 - -
Mason Plumlee 26 4-5 0-0 2-6 8 1 1 0 10 - -
Grayson Allen 25 2-5 2-4 3-4 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Collin Gillespie 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Dunn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 34 4-11 1-3 1-2 7 3 0 1 10 - -
Ja Morant * 33 9-13 1-5 10-10 4 12 1 0 29 - -
GG Jackson * 25 6-12 2-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 14 - -
Jay Huff * 24 5-11 4-8 0-0 3 0 0 2 14 - -
Jaylen Wells * 23 1-9 0-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 27 3-7 1-4 6-7 1 2 2 1 13 - -
Marvin Bagley III 22 3-7 0-2 3-4 5 0 0 2 9 - -
Lamar Stevens 22 4-7 4-6 1-2 5 3 1 1 13 - -
Cam Spencer 19 5-9 4-7 2-2 3 1 3 0 16 - -
John Konchar 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter