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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Log Adjusted 29.3% 70.7% -
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 36 10-23 2-6 3-4 5 3 1 1 25 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 6-17 0-2 3-4 7 5 2 0 15 - -
Cole Anthony * 30 4-13 1-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 2-8 1-4 3-3 12 1 0 1 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Black 19 0-4 0-1 3-4 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Jonathan Isaac 14 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 0 3 1 8 - -
Goga Bitadze 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Trevelin Queen 12 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 4 - -
Gary Harris 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Tristan da Silva 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 6 1-2 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Jett Howard 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 37 5-9 1-1 3-4 14 4 0 1 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 37 7-21 3-9 0-0 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Tari Eason * 33 3-12 0-6 0-0 7 2 1 1 6 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 32 5-13 5-10 5-7 7 0 0 1 20 - -
Jalen Green * 31 6-18 3-9 0-0 7 8 2 0 15 - -
Steven Adams 23 5-6 0-0 1-3 17 1 0 0 11 - -
Jeff Green 19 3-7 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 16 1-3 1-2 2-4 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Cam Whitmore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Nate Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jock Landale 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter