🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +18 (121-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 24 3-9 3-7 0-0 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Pascal Siakam * 24 6-12 1-4 0-2 1 4 1 0 13 - -
Myles Turner * 23 5-12 2-5 3-4 4 2 0 1 15 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 22 2-9 0-1 1-1 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 3-7 0-2 2-2 3 3 3 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 20 4-8 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Ben Sheppard 19 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Johnny Furphy 17 2-5 0-3 0-0 8 0 3 0 4 - -
Jarace Walker 14 2-5 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Quenton Jackson 14 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 2 0 5 - -
Thomas Bryant 10 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 8 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
RayJ Dennis 7 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Tony Bradley 7 3-3 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 6 - -
James Johnson 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 34 11-20 3-6 4-5 7 4 0 0 29 - -
Tre Jones * 33 4-12 0-1 0-0 3 8 0 1 8 - -
Josh Giddey * 27 11-18 2-5 5-5 10 4 0 1 29 - -
Matas Buzelis * 24 4-9 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Zach Collins * 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 9 6 1 1 7 - -
Kevin Huerter 34 5-15 3-10 0-0 4 1 3 1 13 - -
Nikola Vučević 23 5-8 1-1 0-0 11 1 0 0 11 - -
Julian Phillips 17 3-5 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 9 - -
Patrick Williams 12 1-3 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jevon Carter 2 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter