Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (119-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr * | 30 | 5-19 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Kyshawn George * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Bub Carrington * | 25 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 24 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| AJ Johnson | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 22 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| JT Thor | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Jaylen Martin | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley * | 28 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 27 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 25 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Jared Rhoden * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 33 | 9-21 | 7-14 | 7-11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 24 | - | |
| Colin Castleton | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter