Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 12-19 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 36 | 5-21 | 2-12 | 3-3 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter