Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +17 (141-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 27 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 13 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 30 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 29 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 19 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 27 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Jaylen Clark | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Rob Dillingham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Josh Minott | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter