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2025-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - ✓
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - ✓
Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 30 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 3 1 11 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 29 4-15 1-7 6-7 5 6 1 0 15 - -
Evan Mobley * 28 5-10 2-4 1-2 7 2 3 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 28 4-13 1-8 4-4 5 5 0 0 13 - -
Max Strus * 22 6-11 5-9 0-0 9 2 1 0 17 - -
Sam Merrill 19 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Ty Jerome 18 3-9 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter 18 2-6 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Isaac Okoro 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Dean Wade 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Jaylon Tyson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 34 8-19 1-7 5-6 5 4 2 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 13-24 0-0 4-8 9 3 2 0 30 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 6-13 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 29 2-5 1-4 2-2 9 0 0 2 7 - -
Taurean Prince * 29 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 19 1-9 1-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 5 - -
AJ Green 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Jericho Sims 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 0 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Chris Livingston 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Ryan Rollins 3 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Tyler Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter