Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (116-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 10-21 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 28 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 23 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 40 | 13-22 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 37 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 8-20 | 5-14 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 21 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter