Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | β (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +24 (127-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 41 | 10-23 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 30 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 15-32 | 2-11 | 8-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 40 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter