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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - βœ“
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 βœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 38 5-12 4-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 16 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 36 3-8 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 36 11-22 5-10 7-8 8 3 1 0 34 - -
LeBron James * 34 11-23 0-6 0-3 14 9 0 0 22 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 28 2-5 0-1 0-1 8 2 2 0 4 - -
Dalton Knecht 23 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Gabe Vincent 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Goodwin 15 2-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Trey Jemison III 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 45 12-28 6-16 10-12 12 8 2 1 40 - -
Jaylen Brown * 41 13-25 3-6 2-4 6 2 3 0 31 - -
Al Horford * 37 5-9 1-3 3-4 9 4 3 1 14 - -
Derrick White * 36 3-7 1-5 3-3 5 7 1 1 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Payton Pritchard 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 2 3 - -
Sam Hauser 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 10 3-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter