Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 35 | - | |
| Coby White * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-8 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - | |
| Matas Buzelis * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 29 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 16 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Julian Phillips | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Dalen Terry | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 28 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter