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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - ✗
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 ✗ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% - ✗
Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (117-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 35 7-15 1-2 3-4 10 4 4 0 18 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 12-20 7-12 3-3 2 5 3 1 34 - -
Kyshawn George * 31 2-6 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 3 5 - -
Alex Sarr * 28 5-16 0-3 0-2 14 3 0 1 10 - -
Khris Middleton * 24 4-9 1-5 3-4 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Corey Kispert 27 4-7 1-4 3-4 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Bub Carrington 20 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Richaun Holmes 19 5-11 0-0 0-0 11 4 2 1 10 - -
Marcus Smart 17 2-7 0-2 5-6 1 4 1 0 9 - -
Justin Champagnie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Lawson * 32 2-11 1-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Jamal Shead * 28 5-12 1-2 0-0 5 9 1 0 11 - -
RJ Barrett * 27 7-17 4-5 5-5 9 3 1 1 23 - -
Scottie Barnes * 27 4-16 1-3 9-10 2 4 4 0 18 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 9-13 0-0 3-3 5 5 2 0 21 - -
Jared Rhoden 28 4-8 0-2 5-6 4 0 0 1 13 - -
Colin Castleton 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 2 6 - -
Orlando Robinson 24 2-5 0-1 3-4 7 1 2 2 7 - -
Jamison Battle 21 4-7 3-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 11 - -

* = starter