Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 39 | 9-20 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 11-24 | 3-12 | 11-12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 33 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann | 19 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter