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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% - βœ“
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 βœ“ (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% - βœ“
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 18.0% 82.0% - βœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets +29 (146-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 31 6-12 0-4 1-2 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 10-19 0-0 0-2 2 3 2 0 20 - -
Yves Missi * 27 6-7 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 14 - -
CJ McCollum * 27 6-13 4-7 1-2 5 2 1 0 17 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 6 6 0 2 0 - -
Jordan Hawkins 27 4-12 4-10 1-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Jose Alvarado 23 7-16 2-7 1-1 4 7 1 0 17 - -
Karlo Matković 23 5-5 0-0 1-1 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Jamal Cain 7 1-4 1-2 2-4 3 2 1 0 5 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 33 7-11 0-1 1-2 9 11 0 1 15 - -
Alperen Sengun * 31 7-11 0-0 6-7 5 6 2 2 20 - -
Jalen Green * 27 5-15 2-7 2-2 7 3 0 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 9-14 7-11 2-2 4 3 1 0 27 - -
Tari Eason * 24 6-11 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Aaron Holiday 24 7-14 4-9 2-2 4 2 0 0 20 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. 24 6-9 2-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 14 - -
Steven Adams 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 2 6 - -
Cam Whitmore 7 2-3 0-1 4-4 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Jock Landale 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Williams 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 - -
Jeff Green 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter