Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +18 (127-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 26 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 38 | 14-22 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 26 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter